While it is looking bad for Drumpf, there is still a chance he can even out the numbers a bit. With three months to go all he has to do is dial it down a little and show noticeable restraint and his numbers will pick up. Maybe not enough to overcome Mrs Clinton, but enough to aggravate some Democrats.callmeslick wrote:Time will tell if misplaced......
electoral college histogram
Moderators: Tunnelcat, Jeff250
Re: electoral college histogram
Re: electoral college histogram
I see where Trump is now endorsing Ryan so maybe he is learning...
Liberal speak: "Convenience for you means control for him, free and the price is astronomical, you're the product for sale". Neil Oliver
Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager
A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom
If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager
A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom
If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
- callmeslick
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Re: electoral college histogram
or perhaps bitchslapped by reality.
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
Re: electoral college histogram
Isn’t that the same thing.
Re: electoral college histogram
Slick is always looking for a angle to denigrate Trump.
Liberal speak: "Convenience for you means control for him, free and the price is astronomical, you're the product for sale". Neil Oliver
Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager
A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom
If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager
A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom
If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
- callmeslick
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Re: electoral college histogram
I mentioned this one, to the ever-hopeful Woodchip. Let's put it back up here for easy access, should he take my advice.
Bayersian likelihood approaching 90% for Clinton.
Bayersian likelihood approaching 90% for Clinton.
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
- callmeslick
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Re: electoral college histogram
I bump this extremely accurate(historically) analysis merely because it now shows something I've never seen before, even a week or two out. Both random drift(chance events taken to extreme extrapolation) and Bayersian(more like range of drift) probabilities show Hillary over 90%. Bayersian is at 96%. They didn't even show that on Election eve in 2004, 2008 or 2012.
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
Re: electoral college histogram
You're placing am awful lot of trust in something started 12 years ago. So they been thru 2 presidential cycles. Whoopdedo.
Liberal speak: "Convenience for you means control for him, free and the price is astronomical, you're the product for sale". Neil Oliver
Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager
A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom
If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager
A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom
If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
- callmeslick
- DBB Grand Master
- Posts: 14546
- Joined: Sat Apr 09, 2011 8:12 am
- Location: Rockland,DE and Parksley, VA
Re: electoral college histogram
reality check bump
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
Re: electoral college histogram
Yeah, I see Hillary Clinton is down to a 2.4 lead in RCP. Quite the drop from the 8 pt lead in Aug.
Liberal speak: "Convenience for you means control for him, free and the price is astronomical, you're the product for sale". Neil Oliver
Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager
A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom
If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager
A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom
If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
- callmeslick
- DBB Grand Master
- Posts: 14546
- Joined: Sat Apr 09, 2011 8:12 am
- Location: Rockland,DE and Parksley, VA
Re: electoral college histogram
watch and wait. Your boy is ALREADY whining about the debates. Why?
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
Re: electoral college histogram
Are you willing to bet at those odds?callmeslick wrote:I bump this extremely accurate(historically) analysis merely because it now shows something I've never seen before, even a week or two out. Both random drift(chance events taken to extreme extrapolation) and Bayersian(more like range of drift) probabilities show Hillary over 90%. Bayersian is at 96%. They didn't even show that on Election eve in 2004, 2008 or 2012.
- callmeslick
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- Location: Rockland,DE and Parksley, VA
Re: electoral college histogram
8-1? Yup.
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
- callmeslick
- DBB Grand Master
- Posts: 14546
- Joined: Sat Apr 09, 2011 8:12 am
- Location: Rockland,DE and Parksley, VA
Re: electoral college histogram
this now stands at a 93% chance of a Clinton victory. Watch it move to 99% in the course of the weekend.
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
- callmeslick
- DBB Grand Master
- Posts: 14546
- Joined: Sat Apr 09, 2011 8:12 am
- Location: Rockland,DE and Parksley, VA
Re: electoral college histogram
up to 96%. And, the Donald is getting prepared to make excuses and not show up in Vegas:
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ ... li=BBnbcA1
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ ... li=BBnbcA1
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
Re: electoral college histogram
All aboard the failtrain!
Re: electoral college histogram
Oh man, the RCP spread is now comfortably outside of the margin of error. Let's just get this over already.
Re: electoral college histogram
callmeslick wrote:up to 96%. And, the Donald is getting prepared to make excuses and not show up in Vegas:
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ ... li=BBnbcA1
- callmeslick
- DBB Grand Master
- Posts: 14546
- Joined: Sat Apr 09, 2011 8:12 am
- Location: Rockland,DE and Parksley, VA
Re: electoral college histogram
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
Re: electoral college histogram
Is it november yet? honestly, I'm getting worn out from all the insanity that is the 2016 general US election.
Re: electoral college histogram
Just make a habit of cleverly derailing every election thread into something you find more interesting! For instance, this thread can be about histograms in general. Or maybe we shouldn't even be using histograms at all in this case? Is there a better tool displaying similar collections of data?Ferno wrote:Is it november yet? honestly, I'm getting worn out from all the insanity that is the 2016 general US election.
- callmeslick
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- Joined: Sat Apr 09, 2011 8:12 am
- Location: Rockland,DE and Parksley, VA
Re: electoral college histogram
bump, for all to see that the Histogram is now a staggering 97% for Clinton.
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
- callmeslick
- DBB Grand Master
- Posts: 14546
- Joined: Sat Apr 09, 2011 8:12 am
- Location: Rockland,DE and Parksley, VA
Re: electoral college histogram
well, folks, we've hit 99%
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
- callmeslick
- DBB Grand Master
- Posts: 14546
- Joined: Sat Apr 09, 2011 8:12 am
- Location: Rockland,DE and Parksley, VA
Re: electoral college histogram
100% Bayersian
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
Re: electoral college histogram
heh, so excited you spelled it wrong.callmeslick wrote:100% Baye[r]sian
- callmeslick
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- Location: Rockland,DE and Parksley, VA
Re: electoral college histogram
and in red, to boot!!! Won't edit.
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
George Orwell---"1984"
Re: electoral college histogram
And your histogram has proven to be the piece of junk science that it is.
Liberal speak: "Convenience for you means control for him, free and the price is astronomical, you're the product for sale". Neil Oliver
Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager
A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom
If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager
A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom
If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous