electoral college histogram

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vision
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by vision »

callmeslick wrote:Time will tell if misplaced......
While it is looking bad for Drumpf, there is still a chance he can even out the numbers a bit. With three months to go all he has to do is dial it down a little and show noticeable restraint and his numbers will pick up. Maybe not enough to overcome Mrs Clinton, but enough to aggravate some Democrats.
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by woodchip »

I see where Trump is now endorsing Ryan so maybe he is learning...
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by callmeslick »

or perhaps bitchslapped by reality.
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by Spidey »

Isn’t that the same thing.
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by woodchip »

Slick is always looking for a angle to denigrate Trump.
Liberal speak: "Convenience for you means control for him, free and the price is astronomical, you're the product for sale". Neil Oliver

Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager

A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom

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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by callmeslick »

I mentioned this one, to the ever-hopeful Woodchip. Let's put it back up here for easy access, should he take my advice.
Bayersian likelihood approaching 90% for Clinton.
Image
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
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Re: electoral college histogram

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I bump this extremely accurate(historically) analysis merely because it now shows something I've never seen before, even a week or two out. Both random drift(chance events taken to extreme extrapolation) and Bayersian(more like range of drift) probabilities show Hillary over 90%. Bayersian is at 96%. They didn't even show that on Election eve in 2004, 2008 or 2012.
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by woodchip »

You're placing am awful lot of trust in something started 12 years ago. So they been thru 2 presidential cycles. Whoopdedo.
Liberal speak: "Convenience for you means control for him, free and the price is astronomical, you're the product for sale". Neil Oliver

Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager

A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom

If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
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Re: electoral college histogram

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reality check bump
"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by woodchip »

Yeah, I see Hillary Clinton is down to a 2.4 lead in RCP. Quite the drop from the 8 pt lead in Aug.
Liberal speak: "Convenience for you means control for him, free and the price is astronomical, you're the product for sale". Neil Oliver

Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager

A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom

If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
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Re: electoral college histogram

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watch and wait. Your boy is ALREADY whining about the debates. Why?
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by Jeff250 »

callmeslick wrote:I bump this extremely accurate(historically) analysis merely because it now shows something I've never seen before, even a week or two out. Both random drift(chance events taken to extreme extrapolation) and Bayersian(more like range of drift) probabilities show Hillary over 90%. Bayersian is at 96%. They didn't even show that on Election eve in 2004, 2008 or 2012.
Are you willing to bet at those odds?
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Re: electoral college histogram

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8-1? Yup.
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Re: electoral college histogram

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this now stands at a 93% chance of a Clinton victory. Watch it move to 99% in the course of the weekend.
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Re: electoral college histogram

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up to 96%. And, the Donald is getting prepared to make excuses and not show up in Vegas:
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ ... li=BBnbcA1
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by Top Gun »

All aboard the failtrain!
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by vision »

Oh man, the RCP spread is now comfortably outside of the margin of error. Let's just get this over already.
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by Ferno »

callmeslick wrote:up to 96%. And, the Donald is getting prepared to make excuses and not show up in Vegas:
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ ... li=BBnbcA1
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Re: electoral college histogram

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"The Party told you to reject all evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command."
George Orwell---"1984"
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by Ferno »

Is it november yet? honestly, I'm getting worn out from all the insanity that is the 2016 general US election.
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by vision »

Ferno wrote:Is it november yet? honestly, I'm getting worn out from all the insanity that is the 2016 general US election.
Just make a habit of cleverly derailing every election thread into something you find more interesting! For instance, this thread can be about histograms in general. Or maybe we shouldn't even be using histograms at all in this case? Is there a better tool displaying similar collections of data?
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by callmeslick »

bump, for all to see that the Histogram is now a staggering 97% for Clinton.
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by callmeslick »

well, folks, we've hit 99%

Image
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by callmeslick »

100% Bayersian
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by vision »

callmeslick wrote:100% Baye[r]sian
:D heh, so excited you spelled it wrong.
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Re: electoral college histogram

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and in red, to boot!!! Won't edit. :lol:
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Re: electoral college histogram

Post by woodchip »

And your histogram has proven to be the piece of junk science that it is.
Liberal speak: "Convenience for you means control for him, free and the price is astronomical, you're the product for sale". Neil Oliver

Leftist are Evil, and Liberals keep voting for them. Dennis Prager

A mouse might be in a cookie jar.... but he is not a cookie" ... Casper Ten Boom

If your life revolves around the ability to have an abortion, what does that say about your life? Anonymous
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